Norddeutsches Küsten- und Klimabüro
 
Cuxhaven

Possible impact of future sea level rise on storm surges by 2100

Impact of MSL in RCP8.5 scenario If future greenhouse gas emission keeps high (like in RCP8.5):
  • a severe storm surge like in 1962 (cross) could occur about every 11 years at Cuxhaven.
  • In the current climate, this storm surge occurs statistically about every 116 years at Cuxhaven. A 116-year event in such a future climate could reach a height of about 5.54 meters at Cuxhaven relative to the mean of 1986-2005.
  • A 200-year event, which is an important reference for coastal defense measures, may occur about every 15 years at Cuxhaven in such a future climate.
  • A 200-year event in such a future climate could reach a height of about 5.67 meters at Cuxhaven relative to the mean of 1986-2005.
Impact of MSL in RCP2.6 scenario If future greenhouse gas emisson will be significantly reduced (like in RCP2.6):
  • a severe storm surge like in 1962 (cross) may occur about every 28 years at Cuxhaven.
  • In the current climate, this storm surge occurs statistically about every 116 years at Cuxhaven. A 116-year event in such a future climate could reach a height of about 5.22 meters at Cuxhaven relative to the mean of 1986-2005.
  • A 200-year event, which is an important reference for coastal defense measures, may occur about every 44 years at Cuxhaven in such a future climate.
  • A 200-year event in such a future climate could reach a height of about 5.35 meters at Cuxhaven relative to the mean of 1986-2005.